Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.135046 0.197872 0.270480 0.358338 0.459796 0.571602 0.702563
2026-01-18 0.062620 0.138274 0.241928 0.382273 0.558110 0.763945 1.016771
2026-01-25 0.028256 0.099828 0.215218 0.385526 0.610833 0.884402 1.229546
2026-02-01 0.006251 0.060152 0.172662 0.357391 0.616684 0.943325 1.366108
2026-02-08 0.000004 0.030726 0.131899 0.321065 0.603647 0.972577 1.461502
2026-02-15 NaN 0.016889 0.111283 0.309593 0.620481 1.036967 1.598002
2026-02-22 NaN 0.010478 0.102931 0.315778 0.660888 1.131189 1.771414
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004975 0.090791 0.312424 0.685644 1.203683 1.916724
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001014 0.073530 0.295317 0.687245 1.243474 2.019096
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000679 0.077429 0.320959 0.755411 1.374601 2.240117
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000454 0.081708 0.347442 0.825106 1.508155 2.464757
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000101 0.080736 0.362174 0.876029 1.615835 2.655931
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000099 0.088566 0.398416 0.964606 1.780046 2.926702
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000018 0.091777 0.424716 1.038054 1.924474 3.173390
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.085297 0.427905 1.073501 2.015468 3.349738
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.066553 0.398162 1.053008 2.026745 3.420445
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.047158 0.359564 1.014127 2.009640 3.451809
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.038580 0.347360 1.018911 2.054101 3.564348
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.036272 0.353943 1.056779 2.146725 3.741803
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.031366 0.350374 1.075885 2.211649 3.881815
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.023383 0.332151 1.066917 2.234446 3.964275
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.026767 0.359455 1.143120 2.384257 4.220121
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.030400 0.387593 1.220922 2.536575 4.479592